Puebla vs Tecos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
SAN
2 - 0
PUE
70%
18%
12%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
PUE
2 - 2
AME
32%
26%
42%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
DOR
0 - 0
PUE
48%
26%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
PUE
5 - 2
ATS
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
CAZ
3 - 1
PUE
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
EST
1 - 0
PAC
36%
25%
38%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
SAN
4 - 2
EST
67%
19%
14%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
EST
3 - 0
ATL
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
AME
3 - 3
EST
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
EST
1 - 0
PUM
29%
25%
46%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |