Puebla vs Tecos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
CAZ
4 - 0
PUE
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
PUE
3 - 2
JAG
46%
26%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
AME
0 - 1
PUE
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
PUE
0 - 1
CUE
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
PUE
0 - 2
QRO
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
EST
0 - 0
QRO
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
ATS
2 - 0
EST
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2003 |
PUM
2 - 1
EST
72%
17%
10%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
EST
3 - 0
TOL
20%
26%
54%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
MON
3 - 0
EST
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |