Puebla vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
TOL
1 - 1
PUE
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
PUE
1 - 2
TIJ
35%
28%
37%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
PUE
0 - 1
QRO
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ATS
2 - 2
PUE
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 2
ATL
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
TOR
2 - 2
VER
50%
25%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
LAP
3 - 1
TOR
51%
26%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
TOR
3 - 0
EST
31%
26%
43%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +3 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
DOR
4 - 3
TOR
58%
23%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 1
UAT
41%
27%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |