Puebla vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
9.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
IRA
2 - 3
PUE
19%
25%
56%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2001 |
PUE
2 - 1
MON
50%
23%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2001 |
TIG
2 - 0
PUE
59%
21%
20%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2001 |
PUE
0 - 0
TOL
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
PAC
0 - 3
PUE
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2001 |
MON
2 - 1
TOR
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2001 |
TOR
0 - 1
TOL
26%
26%
49%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
NEC
2 - 2
TOR
78%
15%
7%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2001 |
TOR
2 - 1
LEO
33%
26%
41%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
PUM
5 - 0
TOR
80%
14%
7%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |