Puebla vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
33.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
ATS
0 - 2
PUE
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
PUE
1 - 2
IND
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
MOR
1 - 1
PUE
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2010 |
PUE
2 - 1
AME
48%
25%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 1
PUE
63%
21%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
CAZ
2 - 2
PAC
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
ATL
1 - 0
CAZ
37%
26%
37%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
CAZ
5 - 0
PUM
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
CAZ
1 - 0
QRO
73%
18%
10%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
PUM
1 - 0
CAZ
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |