Puebla vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
40.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
PUM
3 - 0
PUE
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
PUE
6 - 0
IRA
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
PUE
2 - 2
NEC
31%
26%
43%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
CHI
0 - 0
PUE
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
PUE
1 - 2
TOL
27%
25%
48%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
CAZ
3 - 1
NEC
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
CHI
4 - 3
CAZ
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
CAZ
3 - 1
TOL
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
TIG
1 - 1
CAZ
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
CAZ
2 - 0
QRO
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |