Puebla vs América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
36.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
EST
1 - 1
PUE
40%
25%
34%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
PUE
2 - 1
TOL
40%
27%
32%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
QRO
0 - 1
PUE
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 1
CAZ
36%
27%
38%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
PUE
0 - 1
SNL
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
AME
3 - 1
SAN
42%
24%
34%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 1
AME
42%
27%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
AME
2 - 3
MON
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
MOR
3 - 1
AME
53%
24%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
AME
2 - 1
PUM
53%
24%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |