Puebla vs América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
42.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
DOR
0 - 0
PUE
48%
26%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
PUE
5 - 2
ATS
34%
26%
40%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
CAZ
3 - 1
PUE
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
TIG
4 - 0
PUE
65%
21%
15%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
PUE
0 - 0
VER
42%
25%
33%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
AME
4 - 2
SAN
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
AME
3 - 3
EST
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
DOR
0 - 1
AME
29%
27%
44%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
ATS
1 - 1
AME
46%
25%
30%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
AME
2 - 1
CAZ
50%
25%
26%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |