EF Puebla de la Calzada vs CF Jaraíz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
66.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+88%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
15º
18º
17º
43
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
38 | 71 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 71 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 67 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
|
1º
|
43 | 67 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 66 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 61 |
6º
|
43.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 51 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 49 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 48 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 43 |
10º
|
22% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 41 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 38 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 36 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 35 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 29 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 27 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
15 | 27 |
17º
|
22.5% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 25 |
18º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 14.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 72.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
22% | 13% |
|
Relegation
|
78% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EF Puebla de la Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ARR
2 - 0
PUE
65%
21%
14%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
PUE
0 - 3
ADL
12%
19%
70%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 1
PUE
61%
22%
18%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
PUE
3 - 3
JER
30%
24%
46%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 0
PUE
60%
20%
19%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CF Jaraíz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CFJ
1 - 0
CDE
35%
22%
43%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CDB
1 - 2
CFJ
76%
17%
8%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ARR
4 - 3
CFJ
27%
24%
50%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CFJ
2 - 2
ADL
19%
22%
60%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
OLI
0 - 3
CFJ
32%
24%
45%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |