EF Puebla de la Calzada vs Pueblonuevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
51.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
15º
18º
17º
20
5º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
38 | 71 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 71 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 67 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
1º
|
43 | 67 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 66 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 61 |
6º
|
43.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 51 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 49 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 48 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 43 |
10º
|
22% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 41 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
|
13º
|
20 | 38 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 36 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 35 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 29 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 27 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
15 | 27 |
17º
|
22.5% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 25 |
18º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
22% | 80.5% |
|
Relegation
|
78% | 19.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EF Puebla de la Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
PUE
0 - 1
CDB
6%
18%
76%
|
18 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CDE
7 - 0
PUE
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
PUE
0 - 1
CFJ
15%
19%
66%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ARR
2 - 0
PUE
65%
21%
14%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
PUE
0 - 3
ADL
12%
19%
70%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Pueblonuevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
PUE
0 - 2
CDE
22%
21%
57%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CFJ
2 - 0
PUE
63%
20%
17%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
PUE
3 - 1
ARR
50%
24%
25%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ADL
2 - 1
PUE
76%
16%
8%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
PUE
2 - 2
OLI
52%
23%
24%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |