Puch vs UFC Maria Alm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.3%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.5%
4-0
11.1%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.2%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
7.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.8%
2.8%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2016 |
STR
4 - 0
PUC
60%
20%
20%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
KUC
1 - 0
PUC
49%
23%
29%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 1
PUC
39%
22%
40%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
PUC
4 - 0
HAL
83%
12%
5%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
ZEL
1 - 2
PUC
63%
19%
18%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
UFC Maria Alm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2016 |
KUC
7 - 1
UMA
92%
6%
2%
|
5 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2016 |
UMA
1 - 3
BRA
6%
14%
80%
|
5 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
HAL
3 - 1
UMA
73%
15%
12%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
UMA
1 - 3
GOL
8%
15%
77%
|
6 | 15 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
BER
2 - 0
UMA
88%
9%
3%
|
6 | 21 | 15 | 0 |