Puch vs SV Schwarzach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.8%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
78.5%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.9%
0-4
7%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
10.5%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
4º
13º
8º
30
5º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SIE
2 - 0
PUC
86%
10%
4%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
STR
5 - 2
PUC
88%
8%
4%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
PUC
3 - 2
HAL
6%
14%
79%
|
5 | 24 | 19 | +3 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 0
PUC
88%
9%
3%
|
5 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
UFV
3 - 0
PUC
93%
5%
2%
|
5 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
SV Schwarzach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
SVS
2 - 1
STR
67%
17%
16%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
HAL
0 - 3
SVS
66%
17%
16%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
SVS
1 - 1
BRA
47%
21%
32%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
UFV
3 - 1
SVS
73%
15%
12%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |