Puch vs Schwarzach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
22.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
ZEL
5 - 3
PUC
48%
22%
30%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
PUC
0 - 2
STR
43%
24%
33%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 2
PUC
37%
23%
40%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
HAL
3 - 0
PUC
35%
24%
41%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
PUC
1 - 2
BER
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Schwarzach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
SCH
3 - 1
HAL
42%
24%
34%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
BER
0 - 1
SCH
40%
23%
38%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
SCH
1 - 1
SVA
52%
22%
26%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
BRA
2 - 1
SCH
50%
22%
28%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
SCH
2 - 2
HAL
19%
20%
61%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |