Puch vs Berndorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
8.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
SVA
1 - 2
PUC
24%
22%
54%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2013 |
SAL
2 - 0
PUC
59%
21%
20%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
PUC
2 - 2
HAL
38%
24%
39%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
ZEL
4 - 4
PUC
27%
23%
50%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
PUC
1 - 0
BER
81%
12%
7%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Berndorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
BER
1 - 1
HAL
32%
24%
44%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
BER
3 - 0
SCH
28%
22%
49%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
SCL
1 - 2
BER
73%
16%
12%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
BER
0 - 4
ALT
20%
22%
58%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
PUC
1 - 0
BER
81%
12%
7%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |