Puch vs Berndorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
6.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
GRO
1 - 2
PUC
61%
19%
20%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
PUC
3 - 1
KUC
51%
22%
27%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
STR
10 - 2
PUC
58%
20%
22%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
PUC
0 - 1
BRA
70%
16%
14%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
SCH
0 - 3
PUC
23%
21%
55%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Berndorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
BER
5 - 0
GOL
48%
23%
30%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 0
BER
63%
19%
18%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BER
0 - 4
USC
13%
18%
69%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
SAL
2 - 0
BER
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
BER
0 - 6
HAL
16%
20%
64%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | -1 |