Pubilla Casas vs MBD Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
11.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pubilla Casas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CAR
3 - 4
PUC
38%
21%
41%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
PUC
1 - 3
SEU
51%
21%
28%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
TRI
1 - 3
PUC
31%
21%
48%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
PUC
0 - 0
TIN
71%
16%
13%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
DIS
1 - 6
PUC
17%
18%
65%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
MBD Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
LIO
2 - 1
APS
41%
22%
37%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
JCP
2 - 1
LIO
61%
18%
21%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
LIO
1 - 2
MNM
25%
22%
53%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CEL
4 - 2
LIO
33%
21%
46%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
LIO
0 - 1
SIE
10%
17%
73%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | 0 |