Satun vs Nakhon Pathom analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
69.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Satun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
TRA
0 - 0
PTS
16%
19%
65%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
PTS
5 - 1
PAN
47%
22%
31%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
RAN
1 - 0
PTS
42%
22%
35%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
PTS
2 - 0
JFC
57%
21%
22%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
PHA
2 - 2
PTS
57%
20%
23%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nakhon Pathom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
NAK
1 - 0
CHO
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
BAN
1 - 1
NAK
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
NAK
2 - 2
SUK
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
NAK
10 - 0
TST
82%
12%
6%
|
53 | 6 | 47 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
LWA
2 - 0
NAK
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |