PSV vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.7%
4.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1991 |
MVV
3 - 3
PSV
15%
24%
62%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
VIT
1 - 1
PSV
20%
23%
57%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
PSV
1 - 0
NEC
88%
9%
3%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1991 |
PSV
3 - 2
SVV
89%
8%
4%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1991 |
SPA
1 - 0
PSV
17%
24%
59%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1991 |
WIL
6 - 0
SVV
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
WIL
0 - 1
MVV
61%
21%
18%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
SPA
2 - 0
WIL
55%
24%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1991 |
NEC
0 - 2
WIL
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1991 |
WIL
0 - 2
UTR
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |