PSV vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
8.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1983 |
UTR
2 - 0
PSV
24%
24%
53%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1983 |
PSV
5 - 0
FCD
88%
8%
3%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
PSV
1 - 0
SPA
74%
16%
10%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1983 |
EXC
0 - 3
PSV
17%
23%
60%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1983 |
PSV
1 - 0
AZA
50%
23%
27%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1983 |
WIL
1 - 1
AZA
21%
23%
55%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1983 |
GAE
4 - 6
WIL
70%
18%
13%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
AJA
5 - 0
WIL
90%
7%
3%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1983 |
WIL
3 - 4
GRO
47%
24%
29%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1983 |
SPA
3 - 0
WIL
74%
16%
11%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |