PSV vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1982 |
MVV
1 - 7
PSV
15%
24%
61%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1982 |
NAC
2 - 0
PSV
18%
24%
58%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1982 |
PSV
2 - 1
SPA
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1982 |
GRO
4 - 0
PSV
25%
25%
51%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1982 |
PSV
1 - 0
ADO
85%
11%
5%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1982 |
WIL
3 - 1
ZWO
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1982 |
MVV
1 - 1
WIL
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1982 |
FEY
2 - 0
WIL
81%
13%
7%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1982 |
WIL
2 - 2
NEC
68%
20%
13%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1982 |
HFC
2 - 1
WIL
64%
20%
16%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |