PSV vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
7.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1980 |
NEC
2 - 0
PSV
15%
24%
61%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1980 |
PSV
0 - 0
ZWO
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1980 |
TWE
2 - 1
PSV
49%
24%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1980 |
PSV
0 - 1
RJC
72%
18%
11%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1980 |
FEY
0 - 3
PSV
51%
24%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1980 |
WIL
0 - 0
VIT
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1980 |
NEC
2 - 3
WIL
52%
26%
23%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1980 |
WIL
3 - 1
NAC
54%
26%
21%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1980 |
ZWO
2 - 2
WIL
59%
23%
19%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1980 |
WIL
3 - 0
GAE
43%
26%
32%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +2 |