PSV vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
11.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1967 |
TEL
1 - 1
PSV
32%
25%
43%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1967 |
SIT
0 - 0
PSV
37%
24%
39%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1967 |
DWS
2 - 4
PSV
53%
22%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1966 |
PSV
1 - 0
SPA
59%
21%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1966 |
PSV
2 - 2
MVV
74%
16%
11%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1967 |
WIL
0 - 1
SIT
61%
21%
19%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1966 |
WIL
1 - 1
MVV
47%
25%
29%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1966 |
WIL
1 - 3
DWS
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1966 |
TWE
1 - 1
WIL
59%
21%
20%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1966 |
ELI
2 - 1
WIL
49%
24%
28%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |