PSV vs Willem II analysis

PSV Willem II
78 ELO 66
6.6% Tilt 1.9%
71º General ELO ranking 302º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
65.3%
PSV
19.4%
Draw
15.3%
Willem II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
PSV
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.3%
Win probability
Willem II
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
PSV
+20%
-7%
Willem II

ELO progression

PSV
Willem II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

PSV
PSV
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 May. 1966
GRO
Groningen
2 - 0
PSV
PSV
42%
24%
33%
78 73 5 0
08 May. 1966
PSV
PSV
3 - 5
ADO Den Haag
ADO
53%
22%
25%
78 78 0 0
01 May. 1966
FOR
Fortuna 54
2 - 1
PSV
PSV
36%
25%
39%
79 70 9 -1
24 Apr. 1966
PSV
PSV
1 - 3
Amsterdam FC DWS
DWS
55%
23%
22%
79 81 2 0
11 Apr. 1966
SPA
Sparta Rotterdam
1 - 1
PSV
PSV
41%
24%
35%
79 75 4 0

Matches

Willem II
Willem II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 May. 1966
WIL
Willem II
2 - 0
MVV Maastricht
MVV
53%
23%
25%
66 68 2 0
08 May. 1966
AJA
Ajax
3 - 1
Willem II
WIL
76%
14%
10%
67 83 16 -1
01 May. 1966
WIL
Willem II
2 - 3
Elinkwijk
ELI
67%
19%
14%
68 62 6 -1
24 Apr. 1966
FEY
Feyenoord
6 - 1
Willem II
WIL
75%
15%
10%
68 87 19 0
11 Apr. 1966
WIL
Willem II
4 - 0
Twente
TWE
45%
24%
31%
67 74 7 +1