PSV vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
15.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
MVV
0 - 0
PSV
48%
22%
30%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1959 |
FEY
1 - 1
PSV
56%
20%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1959 |
PSV
2 - 0
NAC
57%
20%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1959 |
PSV
1 - 1
AJA
44%
22%
34%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1959 |
FOR
0 - 2
PSV
60%
19%
21%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
WIL
3 - 4
NAC
48%
21%
30%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1959 |
AJA
2 - 2
WIL
67%
18%
16%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1959 |
WIL
5 - 1
FOR
36%
24%
40%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1959 |
WIL
3 - 1
ELI
57%
21%
22%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1959 |
ADO
3 - 3
WIL
66%
17%
17%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |