PSV vs Vitesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.6%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.7%
6.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
VVV
0 - 5
PSV
21%
24%
54%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
FEN
2 - 1
PSV
34%
26%
40%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
AJA
2 - 0
PSV
58%
21%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1978 |
PSV
1 - 0
GAE
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
GAE
1 - 1
PSV
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
VIT
0 - 0
GAE
54%
23%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
HFC
1 - 1
VIT
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1978 |
VIT
3 - 4
AZA
25%
22%
53%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
AZA
0 - 2
VIT
85%
10%
5%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1978 |
ADO
2 - 0
VIT
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |