Champions League Last 16
Global 1-0
PSV vs Spartak Plovdiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.3%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.3%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.2%
5.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1963 |
PSV
1 - 1
VVD
74%
15%
11%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1963 |
SPA
0 - 1
PSV
36%
23%
41%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1963 |
PSV
2 - 0
VOL
78%
13%
9%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
AJA
2 - 0
PSV
57%
20%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1963 |
PSV
3 - 2
HER
84%
10%
6%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Spartak Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1963 |
SPA
0 - 1
PSV
36%
23%
41%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1963 |
SPA
3 - 1
PAR
50%
21%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1963 |
PAR
1 - 0
SPA
61%
19%
20%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 1960 |
SPA
0 - 2
SPA
52%
25%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 1960 |
SPA
0 - 1
SEP
62%
19%
19%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |