PSV vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
17%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
1º
1º
9
7º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
18 | 72 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 67 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 65 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 63 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 62 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 61 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 49 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
|
7º
|
9 | 49 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 45 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 43 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 43 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 41 |
12º
|
8% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 37 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 36 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 34 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 31 |
16º
|
23% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 26 |
17º
|
32.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 24 |
18º
|
47% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
50.5% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
17% | 0.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
12.5% | 2.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
10% | 3% |
|
Next round
|
9.5% | 44% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 48.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 3
PSV
16%
19%
65%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
JUV
3 - 1
PSV
62%
21%
17%
|
89 | 97 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PSV
2 - 0
NEC
60%
21%
19%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
PSV
3 - 0
GAE
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ALM
1 - 7
PSV
14%
19%
67%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
RKC
1 - 2
SPA
24%
24%
51%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 2
GAE
48%
25%
28%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
WIL
1 - 2
SPA
42%
24%
34%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 1
FEY
22%
22%
56%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
UTR
1 - 3
SPA
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |