PSV vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
9.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1978 |
PSV
0 - 0
MVV
80%
14%
7%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
UTR
2 - 2
PSV
26%
25%
49%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1978 |
PSV
0 - 1
ZWO
84%
10%
5%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1978 |
NAC
0 - 2
PSV
22%
25%
54%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1978 |
PSV
2 - 3
GLA
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
SPA
2 - 0
GAE
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
HFC
0 - 0
SPA
41%
28%
31%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
SPA
2 - 3
AZA
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
ADO
0 - 2
SPA
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
SPA
1 - 0
AJA
29%
26%
45%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | +1 |