PSV vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
21.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1960 |
PSV
2 - 1
AZA
64%
18%
18%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
ENS
2 - 4
PSV
50%
22%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
PSV
4 - 1
FOR
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
WIL
3 - 2
PSV
45%
22%
33%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1960 |
PSV
1 - 0
ELI
74%
15%
11%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1960 |
SPA
1 - 2
FEY
39%
23%
39%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1960 |
VVV
1 - 1
SPA
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
SPA
3 - 1
RAP
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
MVV
1 - 0
SPA
47%
23%
31%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
SPA
0 - 2
TSV
68%
18%
15%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |