PSV vs Schalke 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
25.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
PSV
1 - 0
UTR
74%
16%
10%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
RJC
0 - 3
PSV
22%
24%
54%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
PSV
2 - 1
VIT
75%
16%
9%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
HER
1 - 1
PSV
22%
23%
55%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2005 |
PSV
1 - 2
AJA
45%
22%
33%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
LEV
1 - 1
S04
51%
23%
26%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
S04
1 - 1
MON
65%
21%
14%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
FCB
0 - 3
S04
4%
13%
83%
|
88 | 30 | 58 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
BVB
1 - 2
S04
40%
26%
33%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
S04
2 - 1
KAI
60%
21%
19%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |