PSV vs RKC Waalwijk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
1º
1º
1º
0
17º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
15 | 72 |
1º
|
51% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 66 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 65 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 63 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 59 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 59 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 51 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 48 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 46 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 46 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 41 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 40 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 38 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 36 |
14º
|
11.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 34 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 31 |
16º
|
17% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 26 |
17º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
0 | 25 |
18º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
51% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
18.5% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
15% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
7% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
8% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 23.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 15% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 61% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
PSV
4 - 4
FEY
42%
23%
35%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
PSV
2 - 1
VCF
56%
22%
22%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
PSV
3 - 2
EIN
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
PSV
1 - 2
PAD
68%
18%
14%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PSV
1 - 1
BRU
54%
22%
24%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
RKC Waalwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ALM
1 - 0
RKC
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
EUP
1 - 2
RKC
30%
23%
47%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
RKC
2 - 4
LEU
30%
24%
47%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
RKC
2 - 3
BOS
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
PSV
3 - 1
RKC
74%
16%
10%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |