Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
PSV vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1989 |
BOS
2 - 2
PSV
15%
24%
61%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1989 |
PSV
5 - 2
VVV
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1989 |
VOL
1 - 1
PSV
18%
24%
58%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1989 |
PSV
1 - 0
KVM
70%
19%
12%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1989 |
KVM
3 - 0
PSV
43%
26%
31%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1989 |
RMA
5 - 1
BET
90%
7%
3%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1989 |
RMA
5 - 2
SPO
88%
9%
3%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1989 |
RSO
1 - 1
RMA
25%
26%
49%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1989 |
SPO
5 - 5
RMA
27%
27%
46%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1989 |
RMA
5 - 1
SPO
87%
10%
4%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |