Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
PSV vs Olympique Lyonnais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
30.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
PSV
3 - 0
BOS
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2005 |
LYO
1 - 1
PSV
55%
23%
22%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
PSV
2 - 0
UTR
74%
17%
10%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
AJA
0 - 4
PSV
46%
24%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2005 |
GRO
0 - 1
PSV
14%
22%
64%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Lyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
NAN
2 - 2
LYO
26%
28%
47%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2005 |
LYO
1 - 1
PSV
55%
23%
22%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
LYO
1 - 0
LEN
71%
18%
11%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
STR
0 - 1
LYO
23%
26%
51%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
LYO
2 - 1
IST
82%
13%
5%
|
91 | 71 | 20 | 0 |