PSV vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
19%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
1º
1º
1º
6
7º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
15 | 70 |
1º
|
39% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 67 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 66 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 61 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 60 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 59 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
6 | 52 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 48 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 46 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 45 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 41 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 41 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 40 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 34 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 34 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 31 |
16º
|
16% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 27 |
17º
|
25.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 25 |
18º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
39% | 0.5% |
|
Champions League
|
22% | 1.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
17% | 3.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
8% | 6.5% |
|
Next round
|
14% | 51% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 36.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
PSV
3 - 0
GAE
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ALM
1 - 7
PSV
14%
19%
67%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
HER
1 - 3
PSV
19%
20%
61%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
PSV
5 - 1
RKC
75%
16%
10%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
PSV
4 - 4
FEY
42%
23%
35%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 3
NEC
32%
24%
45%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NEC
1 - 0
ZWO
56%
22%
22%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
AZA
1 - 0
NEC
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
NEC
1 - 2
TWE
31%
24%
45%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
NEC
1 - 1
LHA
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |