PSV vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.3%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
PSV
5 - 2
GRO
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
AZA
1 - 3
PSV
24%
23%
54%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
PSV
2 - 3
AJA
48%
22%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
WIL
1 - 3
PSV
13%
18%
69%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
RJC
2 - 2
PSV
13%
19%
68%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
TWE
5 - 2
NEC
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
NEC
1 - 3
ZWO
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 0
NEC
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
NEC
1 - 1
AZA
25%
26%
50%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
AJA
4 - 1
NEC
77%
15%
8%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |