PSV vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.7%
5.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2000 |
SPA
0 - 2
PSV
19%
21%
60%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
PSV
7 - 1
RKC
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2000 |
TWE
1 - 3
PSV
22%
23%
55%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
PSV
1 - 0
BVO
90%
8%
2%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2000 |
FOR
0 - 4
PSV
20%
22%
58%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2000 |
NEC
0 - 2
FEY
15%
20%
65%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
MVV
2 - 0
NEC
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2000 |
NEC
1 - 0
VIT
20%
24%
57%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
BOS
1 - 1
NEC
51%
24%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2000 |
AZA
1 - 1
NEC
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |