PSV vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.7%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
7.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.3%
4-0
12.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.4%
3-0
16.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.7%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.9%
7.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
7.3%
1.9%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
AZA
0 - 2
PSV
15%
21%
64%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1996 |
WIL
1 - 0
PSV
20%
21%
59%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1996 |
PSV
2 - 1
SPA
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
TWE
1 - 2
PSV
23%
23%
54%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1996 |
PSV
2 - 2
BBS
78%
14%
9%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
NEC
0 - 3
TWE
23%
24%
53%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1996 |
NEC
0 - 1
VIT
27%
26%
48%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1996 |
RJC
2 - 0
NEC
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1996 |
NEC
3 - 2
SPA
34%
27%
40%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
AZA
2 - 2
NEC
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |