PSV vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.3%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.9%
4-0
11.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
15.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.1%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.9%
9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
4%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
9%
2.7%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1991 |
PSV
3 - 2
SVV
89%
8%
4%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1991 |
SPA
1 - 0
PSV
17%
24%
59%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1991 |
PSV
4 - 1
AJA
57%
22%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1991 |
ADO
3 - 0
PSV
22%
24%
54%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1991 |
PSV
2 - 0
SCH
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1991 |
NEC
0 - 2
WIL
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
VIT
0 - 0
NEC
68%
22%
10%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1991 |
NEC
1 - 2
VOL
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1991 |
NEC
2 - 1
MVV
50%
25%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1991 |
NEC
2 - 1
SVV
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |