PSV vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.5%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.6%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9%
4-0
11.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
15%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.3%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.9%
2.5%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1990 |
RJC
3 - 1
PSV
20%
25%
55%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1990 |
PSV
2 - 1
WIL
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1990 |
BOS
1 - 1
PSV
13%
22%
65%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1989 |
PSV
2 - 0
GRO
83%
12%
6%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1989 |
PSV
4 - 0
HFC
87%
10%
4%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1990 |
NEC
0 - 0
MVV
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1990 |
TWE
2 - 1
NEC
72%
19%
10%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1990 |
NEC
1 - 2
SPA
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 1989 |
ADO
2 - 2
NEC
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1989 |
AJA
3 - 0
NEC
87%
10%
3%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |