PSV vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
6.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
SPO
0 - 0
PSV
43%
25%
32%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
ZWO
1 - 2
PSV
19%
22%
59%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
PSV
7 - 1
TWE
55%
24%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
RJC
1 - 3
PSV
31%
27%
42%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
PSV
2 - 2
FEY
53%
24%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
WIL
3 - 2
NEC
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
NEC
4 - 1
ZWO
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
TWE
2 - 1
NEC
78%
15%
8%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
NEC
2 - 0
RJC
32%
30%
38%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1979 |
NEC
0 - 2
FEY
16%
26%
58%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |