PSV vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
8.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
SPA
1 - 2
PSV
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1969 |
RAP
1 - 2
PSV
61%
20%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1969 |
PSV
4 - 1
GAE
50%
24%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1969 |
PSV
3 - 1
ADO
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1969 |
SVV
2 - 1
PSV
46%
21%
32%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
NEC
3 - 1
SHS
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
HFC
2 - 1
NEC
59%
24%
18%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1969 |
AJA
2 - 1
NEC
91%
6%
3%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1969 |
GRO
0 - 1
NEC
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1969 |
NEC
2 - 4
SPA
42%
25%
34%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |