Europa League 1/32
Global 8-2
PSV vs Næstved analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
4.4%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1981 |
FEY
2 - 4
PSV
53%
23%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
PSV
3 - 0
NEC
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1981 |
HFC
4 - 3
PSV
15%
23%
62%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1981 |
PSV
2 - 4
AZA
46%
24%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1981 |
PSV
3 - 1
UTR
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Næstved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
MOL
4 - 0
NAE
89%
8%
4%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
NAE
0 - 3
MOL
15%
19%
66%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1973 |
NAE
2 - 2
F95
26%
21%
53%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
F95
1 - 0
NAE
81%
12%
8%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |