PSV vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ZWO
1 - 2
PSV
25%
24%
51%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
PSV
0 - 2
FEY
56%
21%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
SCH
3 - 0
PSV
32%
23%
44%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
PSV
2 - 3
GRO
74%
16%
10%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
PSV
3 - 1
RJC
75%
16%
9%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 1
RKC
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
GRO
2 - 1
NAC
49%
26%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 2
TWE
22%
26%
52%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
GAE
2 - 1
NAC
43%
25%
31%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 2
UTR
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |