PSV vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
RJC
1 - 1
PSV
27%
27%
46%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2008 |
PSV
0 - 0
TWE
56%
24%
20%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
PSV
1 - 0
FEY
56%
23%
22%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
VIT
1 - 1
PSV
20%
26%
54%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2008 |
PSV
1 - 3
LIV
13%
21%
67%
|
86 | 94 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 2
GRO
42%
24%
34%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 1
UTR
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
FEY
3 - 1
NAC
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
NAC
2 - 0
VIT
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2008 |
AJA
3 - 0
NAC
74%
16%
10%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |