PSV vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
7.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1996 |
PSV
4 - 0
RKC
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
VOL
1 - 3
PSV
14%
20%
66%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1996 |
PSV
4 - 1
GRO
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1996 |
NEC
1 - 4
PSV
9%
17%
75%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1996 |
AJA
0 - 3
PSV
54%
22%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1996 |
SCH
0 - 1
NAC
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1996 |
NAC
1 - 1
NEC
77%
15%
8%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
NAC
1 - 0
SPA
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1996 |
AJA
1 - 0
NAC
78%
14%
8%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
RJC
5 - 1
NAC
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |