PSV vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
8.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
VIT
2 - 2
PSV
20%
20%
60%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1977 |
PSV
1 - 0
UTR
75%
16%
10%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1977 |
EBT
1 - 2
PSV
34%
25%
41%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
AJA
1 - 4
PSV
55%
22%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1977 |
PSV
5 - 1
HFC
79%
14%
6%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1977 |
NAC
0 - 0
SPA
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
ADO
1 - 2
NAC
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1977 |
NAC
2 - 1
NEC
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
VVV
1 - 1
NAC
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1977 |
NAC
3 - 2
AMS
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |