PSV vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
6.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
AJA
1 - 0
PSV
59%
20%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1976 |
PSV
2 - 0
SPA
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1976 |
PSV
1 - 1
ADO
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1976 |
EIN
2 - 2
PSV
15%
19%
66%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1976 |
GAE
1 - 1
PSV
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
NAC
2 - 0
HFC
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1976 |
AZA
4 - 1
NAC
62%
23%
16%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1976 |
GRA
3 - 1
NAC
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1976 |
NAC
1 - 0
NEC
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 1976 |
NAC
0 - 1
UTR
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |