PSV vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
22.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1959 |
PSV
1 - 1
AJA
44%
22%
34%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1959 |
FOR
0 - 2
PSV
60%
19%
21%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1959 |
PSV
0 - 1
ENS
53%
21%
26%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1959 |
PSV
4 - 2
SPA
46%
23%
31%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1959 |
FEY
1 - 1
PSV
62%
18%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1959 |
NAC
0 - 0
FEY
45%
22%
33%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1959 |
AJA
3 - 0
NAC
52%
22%
26%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1959 |
NAC
2 - 4
AJA
42%
23%
35%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1959 |
WIL
1 - 5
NAC
45%
22%
34%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1959 |
NAC
1 - 1
ELI
69%
18%
14%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |