PSV vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
20.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1956 |
TSV
2 - 3
PSV
42%
22%
36%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1956 |
PSV
2 - 3
AJA
50%
21%
29%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
VVD
2 - 8
PSV
54%
20%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
PSV
0 - 1
VVV
70%
16%
14%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
FOR
1 - 3
PSV
57%
20%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1956 |
NAC
1 - 1
ENS
55%
20%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1956 |
BOS
8 - 0
NAC
35%
22%
43%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
NAC
2 - 1
WIL
60%
19%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
FEY
2 - 2
NAC
68%
16%
16%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
NAC
2 - 1
ELI
81%
12%
7%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | +1 |