Europa League Last 16
Global 1-4
PSV vs Lierse SK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1971 |
VIT
1 - 1
PSV
29%
23%
48%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1971 |
PSV
2 - 2
NAC
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1971 |
GRO
1 - 1
PSV
22%
28%
51%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1971 |
PSV
2 - 0
RMA
46%
26%
29%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1971 |
PSV
1 - 2
EXC
80%
13%
7%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Lierse SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1971 |
CRO
2 - 2
LIE
31%
25%
44%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1971 |
LIE
3 - 0
RBK
49%
22%
29%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1971 |
LIE
1 - 2
KSK
61%
23%
17%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1971 |
LIE
0 - 2
LIE
35%
29%
36%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1971 |
RBK
4 - 1
LIE
47%
23%
30%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |